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gauntlet: BitBrain vs Pattern across 32 legacy opponents (does not generalize)

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The repo's first multi-opponent gun measurement. Adds tools/ab/gauntlet_run.sh
(per-opponent A/B over the legacy roster, subject = frozen ModularBot),
tools/ab/gauntlet_analyze.py (paired per-opponent deltas, cross-opponent sign
test, style split, MDE) and the arm/opponent fixtures.

Result: BitBrain does NOT generalize beyond DrussGT. 32 opponents x 2 arms x
3 runs x 5 rounds = 192 battles / 960 rounds, 0 failed, 0 retries: damage/run
214.5 (pattern) vs 210.9 (bb), sign-flip p=0.53; round wins 237/480 vs 239/480,
p=0.91. Sign test: bb better on 13/32 opponents (damage). The DrussGT-only
penalty does not carry. The owner's 'killer vs regular movers' sub-claim is not
supported: regular bucket +1.3 dmg/run vs dodgers -0.2 (MW p=0.85), and the
measured movement predictability does not correlate with the delta.
This commit is contained in:
Davide Cappellini
2026-09-26 00:55:57 +02:00
parent 1984a780f4
commit 8efa627c05
7 changed files with 1409 additions and 0 deletions
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tools/ab/opponents_gauntlet.txt
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# Opponents for the BitBrain-vs-Pattern generalization gauntlet.
# Every entry is a validated legacy-champ bot dir from tools/robocode_shim/robots.json.
# The trailing label is the MOVEMENT style (INFERRED from the bot's name/docs in
# robots.json, not decompiled): regular = periodic/predictable/wall-following/
# ramming, dodger = wave-surfing/adaptive evasion, other = mixed/unknown.
#
# regular: the owner's sub-claim ("killer vs spinners, wall-followers") lives here
/tmp/tr_bots/WallAvoider | regular
/tmp/tr_bots/HawkOnFire | regular
/tmp/tr_bots/DiamondStealer| regular
/tmp/tr_bots/BlitzBat | regular
/tmp/tr_bots/PatternRobot | regular
/tmp/tr_bots/FloodMini | regular
/tmp/tr_bots/Aurora | regular
# dodger: wave surfers / adaptive evasion
/tmp/tr_bots/Diamond | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/Dookious | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/Lukious | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/GresSuffurd | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/KurtWaveSurfer| dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/CassiusClay | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/WaveSurferGF | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/WaveSurferPG | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/Jen | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/Cigaret | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/CigaretBH | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/Komarious | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/LionWWSVMvoid | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/RougeDC | dodger
/tmp/tr_bots/Aristocles | dodger
# other: mixed / unknown movement
/tmp/tr_bots/DrussGT | other
/tmp/tr_bots/Shadow | other
/tmp/tr_bots/Phoenix | other
/tmp/tr_bots/Coriantumr | other
/tmp/tr_bots/BrokenSword | other
/tmp/tr_bots/TripHammer | other
/tmp/tr_bots/RetroGirl | other
/tmp/tr_bots/DiamondHawk | other
/tmp/tr_bots/Ascendant | other
/tmp/tr_bots/YersiniaPestis| other
/tmp/tr_bots/LightningBug | other