{ "samples": 54939, "battles": 70, "seeds": [ 1, 2, 3 ], "fly_samples": 8156, "alphas": [ 1.0, 5.0, 20.0 ], "A_primary": 5.0, "A_all": [ 1.0, 5.0, 20.0 ], "D_cap": 12, "target_edges": [ -120.0, -60.0, -18.0, 18.0, 60.0, 120.0 ], "hit_bin": 3, "k_pre": [ 1, 4, 8, 16, 32, 48 ], "k_fly": [ 1, 4, 8, 16, 32 ], "report": [ "====================================================================================================", "FRAME pre (window ENDS at the fire tick, looks BACK)", "====================================================================================================", "MAJORITY / NO-WINDOW FLOOR (test acc 0.2348, log-loss 2.6983 bits, empirical hit 0.0906)", " target-bin edges [-120.0, -60.0, -18.0, 18.0, 60.0, 120.0] px -> central +-18 px hit bin. At the median", " fire range (487 px) the 36 px hit window subtends 4.23 deg; at 450 px", " it is 4.58 deg; at 100 px 20.41 deg. (atan(18/range).)", " target-bin distribution on train: 0:0.231, 1:0.125, 2:0.102, 3:0.089, 4:0.097, 5:0.126, 6:0.230", "", "----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------", "COARSENESS Q=2 -> 32 distinct single states (5.0 bits)", " K | single@D (temporal) | window (temporal) | window=SHUFFLED | window=REVERSE", " | logloss acc hitP | logloss acc hitP | logloss | logloss ", " 1 | 2.4524 0.4072 0.0896 | 2.4524 0.4072 0.0896 | 2.5464 | 2.5787", " 4 | 2.4524 0.4072 0.0896 | 2.5107 0.3990 0.0898 | 2.7611 | 2.6403", " 8 | 2.4524 0.4072 0.0896 | 2.8015 0.3700 0.0889 | 2.8188 | 2.9373", " 16 | 2.4524 0.4072 0.0896 | 3.1310 0.3443 0.0896 | 2.8120 | 3.2793", " 32 | 2.4524 0.4072 0.0896 | 3.1310 0.3443 0.0896 | 2.8026 | 3.2793", " 48 | 2.4524 0.4072 0.0896 | 3.1310 0.3443 0.0896 | 2.8115 | 3.2793", " recurrence, distinct ordered window tuples over the whole corpus:", " K=1 distinct=16 of 54939 (mean count 3433.69, repeat_frac 1.000)", " K=4 distinct=1747 of 54939 (mean count 31.45, repeat_frac 0.990)", " K=8 distinct=13474 of 54939 (mean count 4.08, repeat_frac 0.836)", " K=16 distinct=41447 of 54939 (mean count 1.33, repeat_frac 0.311)", " K=32 distinct=54454 of 54939 (mean count 1.01, repeat_frac 0.011)", " K=48 distinct=54744 of 54939 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.004)", "", "----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------", "COARSENESS Q=3 -> 243 distinct single states (7.9 bits)", " K | single@D (temporal) | window (temporal) | window=SHUFFLED | window=REVERSE", " | logloss acc hitP | logloss acc hitP | logloss | logloss ", " 1 | 2.3782 0.4032 0.0897 | 2.3782 0.4032 0.0897 | 2.5116 | 2.5502", " 4 | 2.3782 0.4032 0.0897 | 2.5461 0.3912 0.0903 | 2.6214 | 2.7670", " 8 | 2.3782 0.4032 0.0897 | 2.8336 0.3594 0.0898 | 2.6284 | 3.0753", " 16 | 2.3782 0.4032 0.0897 | 2.9473 0.3458 0.0898 | 2.6221 | 3.1881", " 32 | 2.3782 0.4032 0.0897 | 2.9473 0.3458 0.0898 | 2.6225 | 3.1881", " 48 | 2.3782 0.4032 0.0897 | 2.9473 0.3458 0.0898 | 2.6216 | 3.1881", " recurrence, distinct ordered window tuples over the whole corpus:", " K=1 distinct=82 of 54939 (mean count 669.99, repeat_frac 1.000)", " K=4 distinct=11018 of 54939 (mean count 4.99, repeat_frac 0.891)", " K=8 distinct=37337 of 54939 (mean count 1.47, repeat_frac 0.404)", " K=16 distinct=54163 of 54939 (mean count 1.01, repeat_frac 0.020)", " K=32 distinct=54754 of 54939 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.004)", " K=48 distinct=54772 of 54939 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.004)", "", "----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------", "COARSENESS Q=4 -> 1024 distinct single states (10.0 bits)", " K | single@D (temporal) | window (temporal) | window=SHUFFLED | window=REVERSE", " | logloss acc hitP | logloss acc hitP | logloss | logloss ", " 1 | 2.3460 0.4094 0.0895 | 2.3460 0.4094 0.0895 | 2.5280 | 2.5352", " 4 | 2.3460 0.4094 0.0895 | 2.5656 0.3833 0.0894 | 2.5672 | 2.8203", " 8 | 2.3460 0.4094 0.0895 | 2.7265 0.3641 0.0885 | 2.5666 | 3.0138", " 16 | 2.3460 0.4094 0.0895 | 2.7450 0.3622 0.0886 | 2.5613 | 3.0377", " 32 | 2.3460 0.4094 0.0895 | 2.7450 0.3622 0.0886 | 2.5613 | 3.0377", " 48 | 2.3460 0.4094 0.0895 | 2.7450 0.3622 0.0886 | 2.5640 | 3.0377", " recurrence, distinct ordered window tuples over the whole corpus:", " K=1 distinct=372 of 54939 (mean count 147.69, repeat_frac 0.999)", " K=4 distinct=24223 of 54939 (mean count 2.27, repeat_frac 0.685)", " K=8 distinct=49891 of 54939 (mean count 1.10, repeat_frac 0.134)", " K=16 distinct=54707 of 54939 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.005)", " K=32 distinct=54779 of 54939 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.004)", " K=48 distinct=54789 of 54939 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.004)", "", "====================================================================================================", "HEADLINE (mean over 3 battle-split seeds; A=5)", " held-out log-loss. delta_window = window - single@D (NEGATIVE = the", " window beats the single state at the same decision tick)", " Q=2 single@D K=1 2.4524 K=4 2.4524 K=8 2.4524 K=16 2.4524 K=32 2.4524 K=48 2.4524", " window K=1 2.4524(+0.0000) K=4 2.5107(+0.0583) K=8 2.8015(+0.3491) K=16 3.1310(+0.6786) K=32 3.1310(+0.6786) K=48 3.1310(+0.6786)", " Q=3 single@D K=1 2.3782 K=4 2.3782 K=8 2.3782 K=16 2.3782 K=32 2.3782 K=48 2.3782", " window K=1 2.3782(+0.0000) K=4 2.5461(+0.1679) K=8 2.8336(+0.4554) K=16 2.9473(+0.5691) K=32 2.9473(+0.5691) K=48 2.9473(+0.5691)", " Q=4 single@D K=1 2.3460 K=4 2.3460 K=8 2.3460 K=16 2.3460 K=32 2.3460 K=48 2.3460", " window K=1 2.3460(+0.0000) K=4 2.5656(+0.2196) K=8 2.7265(+0.3805) K=16 2.7450(+0.3990) K=32 2.7450(+0.3990) K=48 2.7450(+0.3990)", " shuffle control: window(shuffled) - window(temporal) (must be >>0)", " Q=2 K=1 +0.0940 K=4 +0.2504 K=8 +0.0173 K=16 -0.3190 K=32 -0.3284 K=48 -0.3195", " Q=3 K=1 +0.1334 K=4 +0.0753 K=8 -0.2051 K=16 -0.3252 K=32 -0.3248 K=48 -0.3257", " Q=4 K=1 +0.1820 K=4 +0.0016 K=8 -0.1599 K=16 -0.1837 K=32 -0.1838 K=48 -0.1810", " reverse control: window(reverse) - window(temporal)", " Q=2 K=1 +0.1263 K=4 +0.1296 K=8 +0.1358 K=16 +0.1483 K=32 +0.1483 K=48 +0.1483", " Q=3 K=1 +0.1720 K=4 +0.2210 K=8 +0.2417 K=16 +0.2409 K=32 +0.2409 K=48 +0.2409", " Q=4 K=1 +0.1892 K=4 +0.2547 K=8 +0.2873 K=16 +0.2927 K=32 +0.2927 K=48 +0.2927", " robustness in the interpolation strength A (window temporal log-loss):", " Q=2 A=1 K=1 2.4526 K=4 2.6094 K=8 3.4554 K=16 4.4613 K=32 4.4613 K=48 4.4613", " Q=2 A=5 K=1 2.4524 K=4 2.5107 K=8 2.8015 K=16 3.1310 K=32 3.1310 K=48 3.1310", " Q=2 A=20 K=1 2.4524 K=4 2.4643 K=8 2.5491 K=16 2.6407 K=32 2.6407 K=48 2.6407", " Q=3 A=1 K=1 2.3782 K=4 2.8964 K=8 3.8419 K=16 4.2381 K=32 4.2381 K=48 4.2381", " Q=3 A=5 K=1 2.3782 K=4 2.5461 K=8 2.8336 K=16 2.9473 K=32 2.9473 K=48 2.9473", " Q=3 A=20 K=1 2.3810 K=4 2.4149 K=8 2.4868 K=16 2.5134 K=32 2.5134 K=48 2.5134", " Q=4 A=1 K=1 2.3499 K=4 3.0860 K=8 3.6606 K=16 3.7319 K=32 3.7319 K=48 3.7319", " Q=4 A=5 K=1 2.3460 K=4 2.5656 K=8 2.7265 K=16 2.7450 K=32 2.7450 K=48 2.7450", " Q=4 A=20 K=1 2.3557 K=4 2.3928 K=8 2.4289 K=16 2.4327 K=32 2.4327 K=48 2.4327", "====================================================================================================", "====================================================================================================", "FRAME fly (window STARTS at the fire tick, ends at t0+K-1)", "====================================================================================================", "MAJORITY / NO-WINDOW FLOOR (test acc 0.1912, log-loss 2.7810 bits, empirical hit 0.1100)", " target-bin edges [-120.0, -60.0, -18.0, 18.0, 60.0, 120.0] px -> central +-18 px hit bin. At the median", " fire range (487 px) the 36 px hit window subtends 4.23 deg; at 450 px", " it is 4.58 deg; at 100 px 20.41 deg. (atan(18/range).)", " target-bin distribution on train: 0:0.192, 1:0.145, 2:0.125, 3:0.109, 4:0.118, 5:0.139, 6:0.172", "", "----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------", "COARSENESS Q=2 -> 32 distinct single states (5.0 bits)", " K | single@D (temporal) | window (temporal) | window=SHUFFLED | window=REVERSE", " | logloss acc hitP | logloss acc hitP | logloss | logloss ", " 1 | 2.6645 0.2935 0.1099 | 2.6645 0.2935 0.1099 | 2.6645 | 2.6645", " 4 | 2.6376 0.2988 0.1101 | 2.7695 0.2808 0.1106 | 2.8096 | 2.7957", " 8 | 2.5659 0.3076 0.1102 | 3.0331 0.2785 0.1107 | 3.1212 | 3.1197", " 16 | 2.4047 0.3405 0.1104 | 3.1643 0.3070 0.1098 | 2.9981 | 3.3696", " 32 | 1.8365 0.4189 0.1083 | 1.9970 0.4430 0.1078 | 2.3517 | 3.3696", " recurrence, distinct ordered window tuples over the whole corpus:", " K=1 distinct=16 of 8156 (mean count 509.75, repeat_frac 1.000)", " K=4 distinct=872 of 8156 (mean count 9.35, repeat_frac 0.954)", " K=8 distinct=3557 of 8156 (mean count 2.29, repeat_frac 0.665)", " K=16 distinct=7389 of 8156 (mean count 1.10, repeat_frac 0.133)", " K=32 distinct=8156 of 8156 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.000)", "", "----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------", "COARSENESS Q=3 -> 243 distinct single states (7.9 bits)", " K | single@D (temporal) | window (temporal) | window=SHUFFLED | window=REVERSE", " | logloss acc hitP | logloss acc hitP | logloss | logloss ", " 1 | 2.6741 0.2901 0.1105 | 2.6741 0.2901 0.1105 | 2.6741 | 2.6741", " 4 | 2.6262 0.2950 0.1103 | 2.8858 0.2658 0.1086 | 2.9378 | 2.9633", " 8 | 2.5302 0.3184 0.1100 | 3.0207 0.2759 0.1089 | 2.9292 | 3.1779", " 16 | 2.3103 0.3661 0.1090 | 2.6362 0.3390 0.1110 | 2.6531 | 3.2373", " 32 | 1.4355 0.5221 0.1081 | 1.4625 0.5384 0.1030 | 2.2674 | 3.2373", " recurrence, distinct ordered window tuples over the whole corpus:", " K=1 distinct=81 of 8156 (mean count 100.69, repeat_frac 1.000)", " K=4 distinct=3383 of 8156 (mean count 2.41, repeat_frac 0.714)", " K=8 distinct=6857 of 8156 (mean count 1.19, repeat_frac 0.226)", " K=16 distinct=8140 of 8156 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.004)", " K=32 distinct=8156 of 8156 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.000)", "", "----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------", "COARSENESS Q=4 -> 1024 distinct single states (10.0 bits)", " K | single@D (temporal) | window (temporal) | window=SHUFFLED | window=REVERSE", " | logloss acc hitP | logloss acc hitP | logloss | logloss ", " 1 | 2.7020 0.2817 0.1113 | 2.7020 0.2817 0.1113 | 2.7020 | 2.7020", " 4 | 2.6397 0.2982 0.1112 | 2.9108 0.2750 0.1117 | 2.9175 | 3.0026", " 8 | 2.6101 0.3037 0.1137 | 2.9084 0.2793 0.1159 | 2.8151 | 3.0861", " 16 | 2.3853 0.3617 0.1123 | 2.5918 0.3377 0.1135 | 2.6342 | 3.0891", " 32 | 1.3121 0.5988 0.1055 | 1.2668 0.6027 0.1089 | 2.3830 | 3.0891", " recurrence, distinct ordered window tuples over the whole corpus:", " K=1 distinct=252 of 8156 (mean count 32.37, repeat_frac 1.000)", " K=4 distinct=5368 of 8156 (mean count 1.52, repeat_frac 0.465)", " K=8 distinct=7983 of 8156 (mean count 1.02, repeat_frac 0.037)", " K=16 distinct=8156 of 8156 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.000)", " K=32 distinct=8156 of 8156 (mean count 1.00, repeat_frac 0.000)", "", "====================================================================================================", "HEADLINE (mean over 3 battle-split seeds; A=5)", " held-out log-loss. delta_window = window - single@D (NEGATIVE = the", " window beats the single state at the same decision tick)", " Q=2 single@D K=1 2.6645 K=4 2.6376 K=8 2.5659 K=16 2.4047 K=32 1.8365", " window K=1 2.6645(+0.0000) K=4 2.7695(+0.1319) K=8 3.0331(+0.4673) K=16 3.1643(+0.7596) K=32 1.9970(+0.1605)", " Q=3 single@D K=1 2.6741 K=4 2.6262 K=8 2.5302 K=16 2.3103 K=32 1.4355", " window K=1 2.6741(+0.0000) K=4 2.8858(+0.2597) K=8 3.0207(+0.4904) K=16 2.6362(+0.3259) K=32 1.4625(+0.0270)", " Q=4 single@D K=1 2.7020 K=4 2.6397 K=8 2.6101 K=16 2.3853 K=32 1.3121", " window K=1 2.7020(+0.0000) K=4 2.9108(+0.2711) K=8 2.9084(+0.2984) K=16 2.5918(+0.2065) K=32 1.2668(-0.0453)", " shuffle control: window(shuffled) - window(temporal) (must be >>0)", " Q=2 K=1 +0.0000 K=4 +0.0400 K=8 +0.0881 K=16 -0.1662 K=32 +0.3548", " Q=3 K=1 +0.0000 K=4 +0.0520 K=8 -0.0914 K=16 +0.0169 K=32 +0.8048", " Q=4 K=1 +0.0000 K=4 +0.0068 K=8 -0.0933 K=16 +0.0425 K=32 +1.1162", " reverse control: window(reverse) - window(temporal)", " Q=2 K=1 +0.0000 K=4 +0.0262 K=8 +0.0865 K=16 +0.2053 K=32 +1.3726", " Q=3 K=1 +0.0000 K=4 +0.0774 K=8 +0.1572 K=16 +0.6011 K=32 +1.7748", " Q=4 K=1 +0.0000 K=4 +0.0918 K=8 +0.1776 K=16 +0.4974 K=32 +1.8223", " robustness in the interpolation strength A (window temporal log-loss):", " Q=2 A=1 K=1 2.6653 K=4 3.0442 K=8 4.0190 K=16 4.8738 K=32 2.8391", " Q=2 A=5 K=1 2.6645 K=4 2.7695 K=8 3.0331 K=16 3.1643 K=32 1.9970", " Q=2 A=20 K=1 2.6638 K=4 2.6681 K=8 2.6862 K=16 2.5833 K=32 1.7668", " Q=3 A=1 K=1 2.6844 K=4 3.5284 K=8 4.2822 K=16 3.6127 K=32 1.9264", " Q=3 A=5 K=1 2.6741 K=4 2.8858 K=8 3.0207 K=16 2.6362 K=32 1.4625", " Q=3 A=20 K=1 2.6681 K=4 2.6773 K=8 2.6250 K=16 2.3607 K=32 1.4132", " Q=4 A=1 K=1 2.7908 K=4 3.6658 K=8 3.9767 K=16 3.4357 K=32 1.4693", " Q=4 A=5 K=1 2.7020 K=4 2.9108 K=8 2.9084 K=16 2.5918 K=32 1.2668", " Q=4 A=20 K=1 2.6736 K=4 2.6783 K=8 2.6388 K=16 2.4433 K=32 1.4137", "====================================================================================================" ], "raw": { "pre": { "frame": "pre", "seeds": { "1": { "majority": { "top": 0, "n": 16616, "acc": 0.23675974963890226, "logloss": 2.6962576710014994, "emp_hit": 0.09135772749157439, "dist": { "0": 0.23064478250658874, "1": 0.12496412076298828, "2": 0.10205359705659786, "3": 0.08924144769459594, "4": 0.09665214101192496, "5": 0.12616444432847115, "6": 0.23027946663883309 } }, "Q": { "2": { "temporal": { "1.0": { "1": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.4102672123254694, "logloss": 2.4439535093033085, "implied_hit": 0.08926696889633244 } }, "4": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.3977491574386134, "logloss": 2.59627483139251, "implied_hit": 0.08935043338861608 } }, "8": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.36163938372652865, "logloss": 3.4276796112697876, "implied_hit": 0.08908236468620924 } }, "16": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.3323302840635532, "logloss": 4.456377429937034, "implied_hit": 0.09014865089323383 } }, "32": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.3323302840635532, "logloss": 4.456377429937034, "implied_hit": 0.09014865089323383 } }, "48": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.3323302840635532, "logloss": 4.456377429937034, "implied_hit": 0.09014865089323383 } } }, "5.0": { "1": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.4102672123254694, "logloss": 2.44398680997246, "implied_hit": 0.08927687032737237 } }, "4": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.4015406836783823, "logloss": 2.5011836809411947, "implied_hit": 0.08981150107463667 } }, "8": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.37301396244583535, "logloss": 2.7894597036019144, "implied_hit": 0.08887848366927548 } }, "16": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.34623254694270583, "logloss": 3.128167848905169, "implied_hit": 0.0899417241371835 } }, "32": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.34623254694270583, "logloss": 3.128167848905169, "implied_hit": 0.0899417241371835 } }, "48": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.34623254694270583, "logloss": 3.128167848905169, "implied_hit": 0.0899417241371835 } } }, "20.0": { "1": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.4102672123254694, "logloss": 2.444202597378122, "implied_hit": 0.08931321538170625 } }, "4": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.4084015406836784, "logloss": 2.4565895953715717, "implied_hit": 0.09020257433130809 } }, "8": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.397869523350987, "logloss": 2.5409799940678623, "implied_hit": 0.08941243917825753 } }, "16": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.38222195474241694, "logloss": 2.6354610951142035, "implied_hit": 0.0899665120791213 } }, "32": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.38222195474241694, "logloss": 2.6354610951142035, "implied_hit": 0.0899665120791213 } }, "48": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.38222195474241694, "logloss": 2.6354610951142035, "implied_hit": 0.0899665120791213 } } } }, "shuffled": { "1.0": { "1": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.3754814636494945, "logloss": 2.542856679727637, "implied_hit": 0.08925513033579302 } }, "4": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.3124699085219066, "logloss": 3.262373319642181, "implied_hit": 0.09108210452550505 } }, "8": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.28719306692344726, "logloss": 3.5177499377238086, "implied_hit": 0.09174195445018674 } }, "16": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.28851709195955705, "logloss": 3.529691366129672, "implied_hit": 0.08968544616782312 } }, "32": { "window": { "n": 16616, "acc": 0.2894198363023592, "logloss": 3.488539745769887, "implied_hit": 0.08983939725985286 } 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