225 battles, one frozen binary, five env-only arms, the frozen panel, 0 invalid
runs. Paired per opponent vs the shipped tfil:
strafe_notilt wins/run +0.38 [CI +0.16,+0.60] 9/9 opponents p=0.0039
dmg/run -10.2 [CI -25.8,+5.5] p=0.61, MDE 20.4 (not detectable)
incoming hit rate 12.24% vs 18.17%, dmg taken 150 vs 200
strafe_325 wins/run +0.33 [CI +0.04,+0.63] 10/12 p=0.0386
ring dmg/run +31.2 [CI +11.5,+50.9] 13/15 p=0.0074, wins/run -0.04 (ns)
but hit rate 29.4% at 236 px: a damage/survival trade, not a win
ring_notemp indistinguishable from tfil on both primaries
Round wins in this harness are survival wins (in 216/219 attributable runs the
win count equals the rounds the opponent died in), and the winner takes ~1/3
fewer hits while fighting ~74 px farther out. The shipped tfil is last of five
on wins: the DrussGT-only picture did not generalize.
Also: tournament_analyze.py now prints BOTH readings of the pre-registered
'while the other does not go down' clause (strict: nothing is better;
substantive: the two strafe arms and ring are better on one metric each).
SirStone
07766303f5