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SirRoboGarage/docs
SirStone 39e06719fb Campaign phase 2 ledger: live lead-gain sweep (gains above 1.0 do NOT beat Pattern)
6 arms x 7 runs x 7 rounds vs real DrussGT on one frozen binary (2747ebd).
Validity check PASSES: g100 (fixed gain 1.0) is statistically indistinguishable
from control (dmg p=0.65, wins p=0.62, ALL hit rate +0.04pp p=0.92; zero [bb]
lines = provably no correction). Fixed gains above 1.0 LOSE at 300+: gfix150
-94 dmg/run (p=0.0006), 4/49 vs 16/49 wins (p=0.009), -3.85pp at 300-450
(p=0.0006) and -2.25pp at 450+ (p=0.0023). The hypothesis arm ghi (learner
allowed above 1) is directionally positive but inside the MDE (+14.3 dmg/run
p=0.41; +0.83pp at 450+ p=0.35). Kill the gain axis in both directions.

Includes the mandatory correction notice: Phase 1's [1,1,1,0,0] is LIVE-REFUTED
by 140fe25, and the standing rule that offline is veto-only / live decides.
2026-09-25 00:24:45 +02:00
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