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SirRoboGarage/common_libs/tests/fixtures/tmcomposites_gate.json
T
SirStone f58d65d2e8 TMComposites gate: per-gun confidence faithful for 3 guns; no pair composes 
Adds a per-sample intrinsic-confidence field (GunPrediction.confidence,
threaded through FeedbackEvent/VirtualBullet, populated by Pattern, DecayGF,
KNN, GuessFactor, Tsetlin, TMHorizon) and an offline recorder + analyzer that
reproduce the paper's Figure 2 per gun and its Eq-8 composite.

Measured on 3 held-out tr-bridge DrussGT battles (33k ticks, ~133k samples/gun):
- FAITHFUL: DecayGF (rho +0.133), KNN (+0.090), Pattern (+0.064, weak).
- GuessFactor is ANTI-faithful (rho -0.067); Tsetlin c_max is useless (0.001).
- No pair of guns specialises complementarily: the same gun dominates both
  high-confidence slices in every pair.
- Eq-8 alpha-normalised confidence-weighted composite: 18.41% vs Pattern
  20.45% (McNemar p=3.1e-126). Faithful-only variant 18.68%, still loses.
  Shuffle control passes weakly (composite > shuffle, p=4e-14) so ~0.7pp of
  competence is real but ~2pp short. Offline veto: design is dead.

See docs/tmcomposites_gate.md.
2026-09-25 22:04:39 +02:00

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"test_fixtures": [
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"tr_drussgt_vs_modularbot",
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]
}
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