SirStone 3c90a5941d feat(selector): range-aware firing gate fitted to 2611 measured shots
Measured, not assumed. With the gate temporarily opened to 20 deg, every
real shot was logged (tick, angle error at fire time, distance, power,
hit) across 3 gauntlets: 2611 shots, 57.3% aggregate. Findings:

- The geometric cone atan(BotRadius/d) is directionally confirmed but a
  WEAK lever: even at 0.0-0.1 deg error the hit rate at 400-600px is only
  ~53-57%, because PREDICTION error dominates alignment error.
- Real effect of tightening the gate: 57.9% -> 68.0% aggregate hit rate
  (fixed 0.1 deg), not the 76.9% previously reported -- that was a
  high-variance draw (per-rep 62.8/66.4/77.2%).
- The shipped range-aware gate (SafetyFactor 0.6) does NOT beat the fixed
  2.0 deg gate on hit rate (55.8% vs 57.9%, ~1.5 sigma, inside noise). It
  fires 22-28% more shots and therefore lands more total hits (~509 vs
  ~434 per rep). No per-adversary score delta exceeded the 300-point
  run-to-run noise band, so no config is demonstrably better on score.

Shipped anyway because it is strictly more expressive (a fixed threshold is
the special case), tunable from one const, and physically motivated, but
the honest verdict is recorded in-code: the gate is not the bottleneck.

AimThresholdDeg is removed; shouldFire now takes distPx. Degenerate or NaN
distance falls back to the ceiling rather than dividing by zero.

Also adds a per-shot logger to ModularBot behind 'const ShotLog' so the
measurement above is reproducible, and 10 new guard checks (24 total, all
passing) covering monotonicity, clamping, formula, perfect alignment,
gross misalignment and degenerate distance.

Cross-checked against the server source: the gun fires BEFORE the turn is
applied, so the logged angle error is the true departure error, and
fireAssist auto-aim is off (unset by the Nim API and forced false by
setAdjustRadarForGunTurn).
2026-09-20 23:28:31 +02:00
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