SirStone c07e6d9599 movement ledger: the post-hoc structure of the strafe win (60 points, both batches)
56/60 opponent-level win deltas are non-negative and no opponent family
regresses reproducibly (the one WallAvoider loss reverses in Batch 2).
corr(dwins, d_hit_rate) = -0.09, corr(dwins, d_damage) = +0.38: the aggregate
win is a survival effect, but a per-opponent hit-rate gain does not predict a
per-opponent win gain - so hit rate stays an explanation, never a proxy.
2026-09-26 01:33:24 +02:00
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